When Will Home Heating Costs Decline?

With winter weather settling in, homeowners in the U.S. are facing the challenge of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a notable increase in energy prices, leaving many in search of answers and relief. Understand what has an impact on home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and strategies to keep your utility bills in check.

Different Kinds of Home Heating Fuel

A number of fuels are used to keep homes warm and cozy in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil heats 5% of homes.
  • Propane is used in another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels are still the most used source for creating electricity in spite of the surge in interest in renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Factors Impact the Cost of Fossil Fuels?

Considering the above information, it’s evident that fossil fuels heat a large majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the most significant factor creating price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by higher production and storage rates—usually lowers prices, while a surge in demand—caused by extreme weather, a thriving economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to climb.

How Much Have Natural Gas Prices Increased?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to a general price decline through 2018. However, demand has increased significantly recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to achieve heights not seen in over a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas surged to its highest price since 2008, attaining an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This surge represented a major leap of more than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the steepest annual increases on record.

Multiple factors contributed to the unpredictable rise and instability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, production hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a substantial draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices upward. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other regions, coupled with a surge in domestic demand due to cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to tumble by 40% following the fire and subsequent shutdown at the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident sharply cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas to storage. But, as the summer heat ebbed, prices climbed again, reaching a peak in late August.

Shifting into the fall, an uptick in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices fall closer to the five-year average. But, as temperatures decreased, the demand for heating caused prices to rise one more time.

When Will the Cost of Home Heating Fuel Cool Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices underscore the complicated interplay of factors influencing home heating costs. As we look forward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price patterns and the prospect of cost-saving measures.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs thanks to robust production and reasonably moderate temperatures. Even though demand continues to be steady, forecasters suggest prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for homeowners as we move through the heating season.

Tricks to Reduce Your Heating Bill

No matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several helpful steps to boost energy efficiency and cut your heating costs. Here are some strategies:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, making sure to pull them open during the day for free light and heat and then drawing them closed in the evenings to insulate your windows.
  • Boost attic insulation to stop heat from rising out of your home.
  • Buy a smart thermostat that learns your habits and helps you save money.
  • Reduce the temperature on your thermostat when you’re away so you don’t pay extra to heat an empty house.
  • Put on warmer clothes indoors so you aren’t forced to crank up the thermostat.
  • Plan annual furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in good working order.
  • Install a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more cozy at a lower temperature.

Make Your Home Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more critical to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and safety. Our work can also help bring down home heating costs, which is good news for your wallet. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quality, durable remedies to all your comfort needs. Our company’s 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not completely happy with our services, you can count on us to make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community support, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a significant difference in your life and sense of comfort. For more insights into heating prices in the U.S. or personalized methods to help reduce your utility bills, get a hold of the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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